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In Draghi We Trust: The Euro Crisis, Social Unrest and the European Central Bank

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Date: Thursday, February 26, 2015. 12:00 PM.
Location: CISAC Conference room, Encina Hall, 2nd floor

Speaker:  Gerald Schneider, University of Konstanz, Germany The 2008 global financial crisis came with fears - and, for some, hopes of a new wave of public mobilisation in industrialised countries. Large protests were particularly expected in the epicentre of the crisis, the European Union. Yet, the force with which social groups garnered their calls for strikes ebbed quickly away. Gerald Schneider provides new evidence for why this was the case. He claims that strikes, and particularly political strikes, are 'bad weather' phenomena and crises exacerbate them. In monetary unions, where currency adjustments are difficult, fiscal changes are not supported by easing monetary measures and should unchain social unrest unless supranational actors get involved. Schneider argues that the political actions of the European Central Bank (ECB) have countered the potential for strikes in the Eurozone. He provides evidence for his theory with yearly panel data and a new original data  set of monthly strikes between 2001 and 2013. His analyses support the thesis that the EU institution was successful at attenuating social indignation over the Eurocrisis and its political fallout. This paper is based on co-authored work with Dr. Federica Genovese (Essex) and Pia Wassmann (Hannover). This is part of The Europe Center's "European Governance Seminar Series"  and "Europe and Global Economy Seminar Series". Gerald Schneider is Professor of International Politics and Executive Editor of “European Union Politics”. His main areas of research are European Union decision making, the causes and consequences of armed violence, the international political economy of financial markets, bargaining and conflict management.

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